A new study sponsored by Nasa's Goddard Space Flight Center has
highlighted the prospect that global industrial civilisation could
collapse in coming decades due to unsustainable resource exploitation
and increasingly unequal wealth distribution.
Noting that
warnings of 'collapse' are often seen to be fringe or controversial, the
study attempts to make sense of compelling historical data showing that
"the process of rise-and-collapse is actually a recurrent cycle found
throughout history." Cases of severe civilisational disruption due to
"precipitous collapse - often lasting centuries - have been quite
common."
The research project is based on a new cross-disciplinary
'Human And Nature DYnamical' (HANDY) model, led by applied
mathematician Safa Motesharrei of the US National Science
Foundation-supported National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center,
in association with a team of natural and social scientists. The study
based on the HANDY model has been accepted for publication in the
peer-reviewed Elsevier journal, Ecological Economics.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/mar/14/nasa-civilisation-irreversible-collapse-study-scientists
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